FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
16%
23%
62%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCV
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 0
YOB
13%
20%
66%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
STG
2 - 0
FCV
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCV
5 - 1
DOR
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 3
WIN
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |