Lugano II vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ZUG
2 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 2
RAP
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
MEN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 4
CHI
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
1 - 0
YFJ
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
YFJ
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
YFJ
1 - 2
SCB
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 3
YFJ
33%
25%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
DEL
4 - 1
YFJ
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |