Lugano II vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 1
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 6
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
FRE
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
LUG
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
WIN
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 1
FRE
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 2
FCW
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAD
3 - 2
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |