Lugano II vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 3
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 0
MEN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EMM
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
LUG
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STG
3 - 2
LUZ
33%
23%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
STG
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
SCH
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
STG
3 - 2
ZUG
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHU
2 - 4
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |