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Switzerland Fifth Division. Matchday 23

Lugano II vs FC Paradiso analysis

Lugano II FC Paradiso
5 ELO 8
93% Tilt 49%
12150º General ELO ranking 9542º
107º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Lugano II
17.2%
Draw
20%
FC Paradiso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
Lugano II
2.74
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
20%
Win probability
FC Paradiso
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lugano II
+122%
+59%
FC Paradiso

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Paradiso
65
65
100%
Lugano II
61
61
100%
Taverne
41
41
100%
FC Sursee
38
38
100%
Willisau
35
35
25%
Novazzano
35
35
25%
Ibach
35
35
25%
Brunnen
35
35
25%
Perlen-Buchrain
33
33
10º
50%
Kickers Luzern
10º
33
33
50%
Sarnen
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Hergiswil
12º
31
31
12º
100%
FC Altdorf
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Eschenbach
14º
7
7
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lugano II
FC Paradiso
Champion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lugano II
LUG
FC Paradiso
FCP
Eschenbach
ESC
Hergiswil
HER
Willisau
WIL
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2019
BRU
Brunnen
0 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
46%
27%
27%
96 70 -26 +1
12 May. 2019
LUG
Lugano II
6 - 0
FC Altdorf
FCA
45%
27%
28%
95 67 28 +1
04 May. 2019
SAR
Sarnen
0 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
41%
28%
31%
95 47 -48 0
28 Apr. 2019
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 2
Willisau
WIL
47%
27%
26%
94 52 42 0
13 Apr. 2019
HER
Hergiswil
2 - 6
Lugano II
LUG
46%
27%
27%
94 87 -7 +1

Matches

FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
3 - 0
Ibach
IBA
47%
27%
26%
130 62 68 +1
11 May. 2019
TAV
Taverne
1 - 1
FC Paradiso
FCP
44%
27%
29%
130 47 -83 0
04 May. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 0
Perlen-Buchrain
PER
47%
27%
26%
129 73 56 +1
27 Apr. 2019
FCS
FC Sursee
2 - 3
FC Paradiso
FCP
41%
28%
31%
129 62 -67 0
13 Apr. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 1
Kickers Luzern
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
128 43 85 0