Lugano II vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
STG
7 - 2
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 4
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 0
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 1
ESC
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 1
ESC
9%
13%
78%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 0
FCG
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 1
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |