Lugano II vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOC
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
3 - 3
LUG
28%
25%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
7 - 2
BRU
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
4 - 1
BRU
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 0
BRU
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |