Ludogorets vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
2º
1º
24
13º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 0
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
LUD
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
SSO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
AND
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SVA
1 - 2
LUD
13%
21%
65%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
OFK
0 - 1
CVA
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 1
LSO
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SSO
2 - 0
OFK
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 2
CSK
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 0
BVR
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |