Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Ludogorets vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LPL
1 - 3
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
LUD
38%
25%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
4 - 0
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 0
SHA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCK
3 - 2
NSM
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
LUD
38%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 3
TAS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
5 - 0
SHK
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
SHK
0 - 1
NSM
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |