Ludogorets II vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
DYN
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 2
SHA
9%
17%
74%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
LUD
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
BAC
19%
22%
60%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
LSO
3 - 1
LUD
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
MIN
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
KOL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
ČUK
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
ALU
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
NSM
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |