Ludogorets III vs Spartak Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
5º
41
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
LUD
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHU
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
LUD
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
7 - 2
DOR
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
LUD
11%
19%
69%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
3 - 4
SEP
23%
27%
51%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
FSV
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FSV
0 - 2
CHE
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
FSV
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGT
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |