Ludogorets III vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
5º
46
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SGT
0 - 4
LUD
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
FSV
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
LUD
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHU
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
LUD
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 4
SEP
13%
23%
64%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CMV
5 - 0
FKR
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 5
CHE
8%
17%
76%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGT
3 - 5
FKR
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
FSV
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |