Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
5º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
LUD
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
7 - 2
DOR
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
LUD
11%
19%
69%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 2
UST
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 3
LUD
5%
12%
83%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 3
SEP
15%
24%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
5 - 0
SHU
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 5
CHE
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHE
8%
17%
76%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |