Lucky Mile vs Sun Source FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
YTS
3 - 1
LUC
37%
21%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 3
SHA
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 0
KWL
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TMS
0 - 0
LUC
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HVA
4 - 2
LUC
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sun Source FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
KWL
3 - 0
MGS
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
YTS
1 - 4
MGS
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MGS
1 - 3
HVA
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CWD
3 - 0
MGS
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MGS
4 - 3
SKF
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |