Lucky Mile vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 2
LUC
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 2
SHS
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 3
LUC
24%
21%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HON
2 - 1
LUC
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 0
MGS
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MGS
0 - 7
SDI
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SDI
1 - 4
YTS
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SDI
1 - 2
KWU
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SDI
4 - 1
DOU
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
KWA
1 - 3
SDI
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |