Luckenwalde vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
COT
1 - 1
LUC
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
OPT
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
LUC
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
2 - 0
BIS
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
LUC
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
AUE
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BAB
3 - 0
AUE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
0 - 2
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIK
3 - 2
AUE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |