Lucchese Libertas vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 2
TER
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 1
OLB
24%
25%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
VIS
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 2
PIS
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TER
1 - 2
VIS
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PES
2 - 2
VIS
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |