Lucchese Libertas vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
0 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 2
OLB
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOD
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 2
SIE
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 1
PES
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
SIE
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |