Lucchese Libertas vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
ASL
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
3 - 0
SAV
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 0
PIS
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
1 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |