Lucchese Libertas vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
PIA
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PIA
1 - 1
ABN
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIA
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |