Lucchese Libertas vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
OLB
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
NOV
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |