Lucchese Libertas vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
55%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 3
IMO
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 2
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |