Lucchese Libertas vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASL
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 2
PIA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
TUT
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
ASG
1 - 1
GRO
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASG
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 1
PIS
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
ASG
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |