Lucena vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LUC
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 1
ECI
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 1
SEV
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
SEV
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
SEV
52%
28%
21%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |