Lucena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POL
2 - 2
LUC
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
2 - 1
LUC
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 2
BET
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 2
PUE
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 5
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
SFE
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |