Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
ECI
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
POL
1 - 4
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
BET
2 - 2
LUC
47%
28%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALC
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SRQ
3 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |