Lucena vs Jerez Industrial CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 3
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LUC
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
G74
0 - 3
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
JER
3 - 1
ECI
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 2
JER
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
MIR
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
SNF
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SNF
0 - 0
JER
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |