Lucena vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
LUC
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
LUC
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
4 - 0
LUC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CPC
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
POL
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
BET
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
POL
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
AGD
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |