Lucecor vs FC Aguilarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
5 - 3
LUC
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
ALM
24%
20%
56%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 2
LUC
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 3
LUC
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
FUT
1 - 1
PEN
50%
23%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ADF
2 - 5
FUT
62%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FUT
2 - 1
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATC
4 - 0
FUT
71%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FUT
1 - 6
EGA
13%
19%
69%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |