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3. Liga. Matchday 37

VfB Lübeck Zwickau
40 ELO 44
-31% Tilt 12%
2179º General ELO ranking 1674º
78º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
29.1%
VfB Lübeck
29.2%
Draw
41.7%
Zwickau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.7%
Win probability
Zwickau
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck
-5%
-3%
Zwickau

Basic stats

54
46
POS
7
11
SOT
2
10
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
12
13
FRK
40
44
ELO
1
1.2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

VfB Lübeck
Their league position
Zwickau
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
13º
20º
19º
51
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dynamo Dresden
75
75
100%
Hansa Rostock
71
71
50%
Ingolstadt 04
71
71
50%
1860 München
66
66
100%
Saarbrücken
59
59
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
56
56
100%
Verl
55
55
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
52
52
50%
Hallescher FC
52
52
50%
Zwickau
10º
51
51
10º
33%
Magdeburg
11º
51
51
11º
33%
Viktoria Köln
12º
51
51
12º
33%
Türkgücü München
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Kaiserslautern
14º
43
43
14º
50%
MSV Duisburg
15º
43
43
15º
50%
KFC Uerdingen 05
16º
41
41
16º
50%
Meppen
17º
41
41
17º
50%
Bayern München II
18º
37
37
18º
100%
VfB Lübeck
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Unterhaching
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfB Lübeck
Zwickau
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck
LUB
Zwickau
ZWI
Hansa Rostock
ROS
Saarbrücken
SAA
Pampow
MSV
Luckenwalde
LUC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
MEP
Meppen
0 - 2
VfB Lübeck
LUB
47%
27%
26%
597 649 52 +5
04 May. 2021
LUB
VfB Lübeck
0 - 3
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
37%
28%
35%
601 969 -368 -4
25 Apr. 2021
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
55%
24%
21%
603 968 365 -2
21 Apr. 2021
LUB
VfB Lübeck
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
36%
27%
37%
602 1072 -470 +1
18 Apr. 2021
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
3 - 2
VfB Lübeck
LUB
47%
27%
26%
605 657 52 -3

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZWI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
ROS
Hansa Rostock
0 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
52%
25%
22%
741 954 213 +1
05 May. 2021
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 0
Meppen
MEP
49%
26%
25%
742 649 93 0
24 Apr. 2021
ING
Ingolstadt 04
3 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
53%
24%
23%
744 1071 327 -2
20 Apr. 2021
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 1
Bayern München II
BAY
51%
26%
23%
744 553 191 -1
17 Apr. 2021
MAG
Magdeburg
0 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
52%
25%
22%
744 966 222 +1