VfB Lübeck vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
WAL
3 - 2
LUB
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LUB
1 - 1
KAI
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 3
LUB
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LUB
2 - 2
VER
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LUB
0 - 0
MUN
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ING
0 - 0
MEP
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ING
2 - 2
BAY
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 0
ING
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ING
1 - 0
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
VER
1 - 1
ING
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |