Lučko vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
HNK
3 - 1
LUK
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUK
1 - 1
SEG
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NKR
2 - 2
LUK
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LUK
2 - 4
IMO
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NKD
3 - 0
LUK
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 2
SEG
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
IMO
2 - 0
ZAD
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZAD
1 - 2
HDR
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
HNG
3 - 3
ZAD
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZAD
1 - 1
HNS
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |