Loznica vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
8º
6º
30
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loznica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MAV
2 - 1
LOZ
51%
27%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LOZ
2 - 1
VRS
47%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
LOZ
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LOZ
1 - 1
TKS
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
LOZ
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VRS
0 - 0
RAD
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 2
MAV
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MET
4 - 1
RAD
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FKZ
0 - 1
RAD
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |