Loznica vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
14º
50
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loznica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JED
0 - 0
LOZ
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TKS
1 - 0
LOZ
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 2
BAC
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 4
NOV
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKZ
2 - 3
LOZ
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
VOJ
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAV
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
RSM
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 2
GRA
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 3
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |