Lower Hutt City vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
6 - 0
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LHC
4 - 2
WKA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WAI
1 - 4
LHC
51%
20%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NWA
4 - 5
LHC
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LHC
3 - 0
NAP
16%
17%
66%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
IBU
4 - 1
PET
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
MIR
8 - 1
IBU
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NSC
1 - 6
IBU
44%
22%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
IBU
0 - 5
WEL
7%
13%
80%
|
6 | 43 | 37 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
IBU
2 - 4
WAI
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | -1 |