Lovcen vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MLA
2 - 4
LOV
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RUD
1 - 2
LOV
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LOV
2 - 0
BUD
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRB
0 - 0
LOV
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 0
SUT
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GRB
1 - 0
FKC
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRB
3 - 0
MLA
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FKC
1 - 0
GRB
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRB
0 - 0
LOV
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZET
0 - 2
GRB
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |