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III Divisao. Matchday 9

Lourinhanense vs Peniche analysis

Lourinhanense Peniche
22 ELO 16
92% Tilt -10%
13111º General ELO ranking 5671º
264º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
74.8%
Lourinhanense
15.1%
Draw
10.1%
Peniche

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
Lourinhanense
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.1%
Win probability
Peniche
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%