Lourinhanense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2002 |
GFC
3 - 1
BEL
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 0
BOA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |