Loures vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
LOU
35%
27%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
SIN
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
USA
0 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 4
USA
16%
19%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
PER
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
1DE
0 - 2
USA
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |