Lourdes vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 2
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
CDA
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 0
FON
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 0
LOU
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
35%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
20%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
CDA
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 4
PEÑ
19%
21%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 2
PEÑ
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |