Louletano vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
LOU
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
0 - 1
LOU
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
ALJ
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
OPE
34%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAF
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |