Louisville City vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
LOU
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PIT
1 - 2
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 2
LOU
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
8 - 3
SPK
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
EPL
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MON
6 - 2
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
AUB
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |