Louisville City vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
LOU
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MEM
1 - 1
LOU
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
LOU
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
OKC
1 - 1
LOU
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
HAA
2 - 4
LOU
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NMU
2 - 0
RGV
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
NMU
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NMU
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
NMU
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NMU
3 - 2
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |