Louisville City vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
NSC
2 - 0
LOU
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
LOU
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
PHU
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
LOU
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
RIC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 3
LON
60%
20%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
LON
6 - 3
KST
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
CHA
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
MBM
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +5 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
WES
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |