Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
LOU
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LCE
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOU
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 3
DON
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 1
LOU
43%
24%
32%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
AUN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
ENU
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 2
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |