Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 3
DON
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
COA
3 - 1
LOU
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CCF
0 - 2
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
RRF
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 2
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 2
ARD
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |