Loughgall vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
LOU
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
DER
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 3
LOU
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
LAR
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 2
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
INS
3 - 4
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -3 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |