Lothian Hutchison vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LOT
3 - 2
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EDI
0 - 0
LOT
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 3
LOT
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 5
LOT
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SEL
3 - 2
LOT
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STI
4 - 1
HER
70%
17%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
EDI
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
TYN
4 - 2
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 4
PRE
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -3 |