Lossiemouth vs Nairn County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
18º
14º
43
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lossiemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
LOS
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
4 - 2
STR
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 1
WIC
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 7
FRA
3%
10%
86%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 6
BUC
4%
10%
87%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 4
FRA
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
DEV
68%
17%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
NAI
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 5
FOR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
ROT
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |