Lorient vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 0
LOR
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 0
PFC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
TOU
3 - 1
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
ORL
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 2
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 2
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 2
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
NÎM
1 - 0
VAL
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 4
PFC
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |